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The "Xiaokang", or literally a
"Well-off", society includes but far goes beyond a
much better off material life.
"We should
avoid a conceptual trap in understanding the meaning of
'Xiaokang'," Lu Xueyi, a sociologist with the Chinese
Academy of Social Sciences, was quoted as saying by the
Beijing-based Market Daily, a subsidiary newspaper of the
People's Daily.
"A rapid economic growth
by no means indicates that all social problems will be
resolved naturally along the way."
The
sociologist is trying to warn policy-makers of the inherited
law of China's on-going social transition, which is not a
simple equivalent of an economic better-off.
While addressing the Party's 16th National
Congress held in Beijing on November 8 to 14, President
Jiang Zemin, also the general secretary of Communist Party
of China (CPC)'s 15th Central Committee, called Chinese
readying themselves for an all-around "Xiaokang"
life in 2020.
By then he said their per capita
gross domestic product (GDP) will be around US$3,000, a
quadruple of that in the year of 2000.
To
reach the target, China needs only to keep an on average 7.2
percent of GDP growth till 2020, when the CPC will set about
to celebrate its centennial birthday on July 1, 2021.
From 1978 when China started its opening-up
and reform undertakings till now, it has sustained an on
average around 9 percent growth rate per year.
Experts widely agree that China can maintain a
7 to 8 percent GDP growth for another 20 or even 40 years.
Big social transition rolling out
But during the past two decades, China has
also experienced some ground-breaking social changes.
Instead of the starkly simplified social
strata of workers and farmers, new social classes, for
example private entrepreneurs, managers and staff in
foreign-funded and domestic firms and artistic and business
free-lancers, are coming out with increasing economic and
political clout due to their piling wealth.
On
the other hand, the workers and farmers, the CPC's two
traditional cornerstones, are bearing the brunt of the
profound social transformation: the threatened job security,
the fragile social security guarantee, the insufficient
education and training, and the blurred feeling of social
justice and fairness.
Worse, with more social
and moral values for Chinese to pick up, China now faces a
tough challenge of producing a more persuasive and binding
ideology to unite people's hearts.
Experts
agree that China needs now more extensive and more profound
institutional innovations to further its on-going
market-oriented reform and finally crash some deep-seated
problems.
"Following the economic
development, China should set out to adjust its social
policies to cast a reasonable social structure," Lu
said, "without which the economic development will not
sustain longer, and even pedal back despite the already-made
progress," Lu said.
As an example, Lu
mentioned experiences of Brazil, Argentina, Iran and some
other developing countries.
These countries
had ever boasted of a per capital GDP of over US$7,000 or
even higher, but all the economic welfares greatly vaporized
in face of some economic crises or political turmoil because
of the lack of a sound social structure, Lu said.
Hammer out a stable social structure
As one urgent precaution, China should
increase the size of the middle class in the society, he
said.
"For this, China must first of all
break down the mutually-separated economic structures
between the city and countryside and change the existing
household registration system," Lu said.
Although on the same land, China rural and
urban economies traditionally seem to operate independently:
In cities, one can find whatever glamour of a modern
economy; in countryside, however, one sometimes can hardly
access to the most basic economic infrastructure such as the
steady electricity supply, hygienic drinking water, reliably
usable highways and year-round TV and radio broadcasting.
Correspondingly, the existing household
registration system divides Chinese families into two social
groups: urban households with relatively better social
security support, and rural ones which have to cope with
their medical and old-age cares mostly on themselves.
The central government has launched a couple
of pilot programs allowing farmers to change to urbanites,
but progress remains quite limited, which turns out to be
rather counterproductive.
To date, with a 70
percent of the whole population, China rural economy
contributes less than 20 percent to the total GDP of the
country.
"For one thing, farmers must
have got the freedom to leave their farming land to cities
to increase their income; for the other, more people should
receive education, especially the higher education," Lu
said. "Once having the higher education, one will
automatically be able to ascend to the middle class."
To be considered as being
"Xiaokang", Lu thinks the ratio of middle class in
China's 1.3 billion population should be at least 38 percent
instead of the present 18 percent.
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