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Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji had an interview
with Mr. Peter Khan, Publisher of The all Street Journal,
and Mrs. Khan on the evening of April 2, 1999. The following
is a full text of the interview.
Premier Zhu:
I have been thinking of sending my greetings to the American
people through the media before my visit to the United
States. At the same time, I hope to see a good atmosphere
created to help me achieve the purpose of my visit, i.e. to
enhance the friendly relations and cooperation between China
and the United States. However, before you raise your
questions, I'd like to share with you some of my recent
thoughts about my upcoming visit to the U.S. I think this
might be a bit more newsworthy for you.
As I
said at a press conference on March 15, I predicted that I
would meet with many difficulties on this visit to the
United States. I might be an unwelcome visitor, and some
people might even be hostile to me, but I was still willing
to make the trip. I thought I could make some explanations
about certain issues to the American people and tell them
the truth so as to enhance mutual understanding. At the time
of the press conference, I was fully confident about this.
But after that, things developed very quickly and many
unpredicted events took place, thus complicating the
situation.
First of all, the issue of the
military action taken against Kosovo cropped up. President
Jiang has already made remarks on many occasions, clearly
outlining our position on this issue. However, the Chinese
people feel very strongly about this issue. I received many
telephone calls and letters, all expressing opposition to my
visit to the United States.
Then, the US
decided to table a draft human rights resolution condemning
China at the UN Human Rights Commission session in Geneva.
This also caused quite a lot of indignation in China.
And still another issue is related to the WTO
negotiations. Originally, the negotiations were proceeding
fairly smoothly, but recently, we assume, due to pressure
from the U.S. Congress, the U.S. Government has shown a
change in attitude in the negotiations.
In
fact, on the part of the U.S. government, they should agree
among themselves that China has already made major
concessions on the issues related to its accession to the
WTO. Such concessions were unimaginable even to the
Americans three or five years ago. If these concessions can
help us reach an agreement, it will facilitate the
development of trade and cooperation between China and the
U.S. and also be conducive to reducing the China-U.S. trade
deficit, and it will be in the interests of the U.S.
From my meetings with U.S. business people, I
fully understand that if this agreement is made public, it
will surely be welcomed and supported by the American
business community.
However, it was due to
opposition from members of the U.S. Congress, the U.S.
negotiators have so far not shown a positive attitude on
this issue. On the morning of the day before yesterday, I
met with two congressional delegations from the U.S.,
including both senators and representatives. Altogether
there were 20 people. One group was led by Senator Roth and
the other by Senator Thomas. I spent the whole morning
talking with them. I said to them that they should not have
the misconception that China cannot but accede to the WTO.
Of course, we hope to enter the WTO. For this goal, we have
negotiated for 13 years. Nevertheless, we are not unable to
survive without the WTO. The past 13 years of history has
proven that we can survive without it, and that we have
been, in fact, doing better and better.
I also
said to them that I am more of an expert than many of them
in this area, because I know more about the whole process of
the negotiations. I know all the details of the 13-year
process. I know better than them how big are the concessions
China has made, and, in fact, these concessions are to the
United States' advantage. I believe that once this agreement
is announced, it will definitely receive the support of the
U.S. business community.
But some U.S.
congressional members are accusing the Clinton
Administration and Ms. Barshefsky of trading in principles.
I don't think that's fair. Actually, Ms. Barshefsky has been
very tough during the whole negotiation process. I
"offered" her a word in our talks -- I said,
"If I give you an inch, you ask for a foot". I
told her that I had never met with such a tough negotiator
before. I said that once the agreement is announced, perhaps
the Americans will not accuse the U.S. Government of trading
in principles. I am very worried that the Chinese people may
accuse me of trading in principles.
Q: You
spoke as if an agreement had been reached. Is it right?
A: I think there is only a little way to go
before we reach an agreement. But as the USTR has been under
all kinds of pressure, she is afraid of covering this little
bit of distance.
Q: You also seem to be
saying, when you say China has made the utmost concessions,
that you are now drawing a line and saying, no more
concessions, this is it?
A: Just about right.
You may ask me why China has made such big concessions.
Well, I say, make no mistake about it and don't
misunderstand it. China is not begging for accession to the
WTO.
Isn't China doing quite well without WTO
membership? We have made such big concessions for the sake
of the overall interests of the friendly relations and
cooperation between China and the U.S. We are doing so in
order to build towards a constructive strategic partnership,
a goal set by President Jiang and President Clinton.
We hope this positive momentum will move
forward, and it will not be in danger of going backwards as
it is now. Therefore, I said to those gentlemen from the
Congress, if they oppose reaching an agreement between China
and the U.S. as they do now, it will not serve the interests
of the United States. China does not have to conclude this
agreement, nor does China have to conclude this agreement
before my visit to the U.S.
Our main purpose
is to serve the overall interests of the friendly relations
between China and the U.S. We may not be able to get an
agreement, and China may not be able to join the WTO at this
stage. Nevertheless, without WTO membership we can still
develop bilateral relations with countries all over the
world on the basis of our concessions. Should this happen,
only the U.S. will be left out of this game.
Just now, Mr. Peter Khan, you also asked me if
we would make no further concessions. That's not the
problem. To put it accurately, the problem is not that we
cannot make any further concessions, but rather, that the
concessions that the American side is asking for are
unreasonable.
For example, let's look at the
opening up of the telecom industry. In China, this industry
was completely closed to the outside world in the past. Now
we've undertaken to open up the telecom industry. We can
allow foreign investors to hold an equity ratio of 25
percent to 30 percent for the few years to come. After this
transitional period of a few years, we can further ease
restrictions on the equity ratio of foreign investment
allowed. However, we do have one condition, which is that
China must hold the controlling proportion of equity. But
the U.S. side demands that U.S. investors should be able to
hold controlling equity.
I argue that in many
industries in the U.S. you do not let foreigners control
equity. For instance, your civil aviation industry only
allows a foreign investment ratio of 25 percent.
All countries including South Korea as well as
the region of Taiwan have imposed ceilings on the foreign
investment equity ratio. Not that only China has.
In other sectors, such as banking and
insurance, our level of openness has in fact exceeded what
the U.S. had originally asked for. As for securities, we've
learned a lesson from the financial crisis in some Southeast
Asian countries. China must not be too hasty in opening up
the securities sector. The U.S. is very clear about this
position of ours. Yet, we can still open up B shares to
foreign investors, though not A shares. Even if the U.S.
insists on this demand, China cannot do it. Moreover, if we
were to do this, we would follow in the footsteps of the
crisis-stricken Southeast Asian countries.
Q:
What do you mean by the opening up of A and B Shares?
A : I'm afraid this is a question of a
specialized subject which I don't have time to explain now.
In short, I feel that an economic question --
the WTO negotiations are an economic issue -- has now been
turned into a political issue altogether. This makes the
problem much more complex.
The day before
yesterday when I met with some members of the U. S.
Congress, one of them said very bluntly that the WTO
negotiations should be directly linked with such issues as
the human rights and nuclear non-proliferation. I told him
then and there that I did not agree. Should all China-US
economic issues be linked to other issues like the human
rights or nuclear non-proliferation or should any economic
issues be linked to political issues, I am afraid that it
would be impossible for the U.S. and China to develop
friendly relations and cooperation.
As for the
negotiation on agriculture such as TCK of wheat, citrus and
meat quarantine, we have made full concessions. The U.S.
side feels that the two sides can very well reach agreement
on these issues. So I proposed that the two sides could make
public the agreement on these issues so as to win public
support which will facilitate our efforts to reach agreement
on other issues.
But I did say that the
announcement of this agreement did not signify that the
entire package of WTO issues had been agreed upon. Such an
agreement would come into effect only when the package of
WTO issues were agreed upon. A prompt announcement would
help improve the atmosphere and also facilitate the reaching
of agreement on other issues. But the United States did not
agree, saying "It's impossible".
Under such circumstances, I asked myself,
what's the point of making a trip to the U.S.? What could I
accomplish there? However, after repeated consideration, we
still think we should set store by the overall interests of
China-US relations. Obviously, the U.S. is the sole
superpower, and China is the most populous nation in the
world. The development of the friendly relations and
cooperation between our two countries will have an impact on
world peace and the pattern of international cooperation.
President Jiang Zemin and the Chinese leadership still
decided that I should accept President Clinton's invitation
and go to the United States. We hope to do our part to
promote communication between our two countries and our two
peoples, to discuss certain issues, and to see if we can
find a way to promote the forward movement of the overall
friendly and cooperative relations between China and the
United States.
Q: Are you ruling out an
agreement on WTO during this trip? Are you saying that you
believe it's impossible?
A: When I just said
"It's impossible" a moment ago, I was referring to
the reply of the U.S. side to my suggestion that we make an
announcement that we have reached agreement on a certain
number of the issues. It was the United States
representative, not us, who said "It's
impossible".
Q: If you give us the
details of what's agreed on, we'll be happy to tell the
business community what your proposals are.
A:
Then Madame Barshefsky will become even tougher, won't she?
I think that this visit won't be very easy for me. As a
Chinese saying goes, "Neither side will be
pleased". On one side, some Americans are not
particularly welcoming me, and on the other side, some
Chinese don't want me to go. So I think that I will have a
very difficult task.
Q: We have roughly 10 or
20 other questions we'd like to ask you. We wonder whether
that'll be all right.
A: I will have another
interview with some Canadian reporters shortly.
Q: You clearly view the American business
community as supportive of better US-China relations, at the
same time it would appear that foreign investment in China
is actually declining. Is that the case, and what are
reasons for that, and what can be done to reverse that?
A: In fact, foreign investment, including US
investment in China, has been increasing every year. Last
year there was a growth over the previous year. It's not
true to say that foreign investment in China is decreasing.
That's not the case at all.
Last year foreign
direct investment in China was 45.9 billion U.S. dollars,
surpassing the 45 billion dollars of the previous year. In
January and February of this year, there was a slight
decrease in comparison with that of the same period last
year, but it was basically at the same level.
But one cannot read much into a period of only
one or two months. We expect that there will be an even more
marked increase this year in foreign investment in China,
because the investment environment in China is obviously
much better than that in certain Southeast Asian countries.
When we open up the sectors and industries I
have just mentioned, telecommunications in particular,
foreign investment will come into China in even larger
amounts.
Q: I'd like to ask you a somewhat
more philosophical question. Is greater political pluralism
an inevitable result of the increasing economic
liberalization that you're undertaking, or is political
pluralism actually a precondition for successful economic
liberalization? I wonder how you view the connection between
these two.
A: Politics and economics are
interactive. It is true that economics determines the
direction of political movement, but politics has an impact
on economic matters. As regards how you and I understand and
interpret the definition of so-called economic
liberalization and political pluralism, this is another
matter.
Q: You've just referred to the goal of
a constructive strategic partnership towards which our two
countries are going to build, a goal which President Clinton
and President Jiang set together. But some people think that
in fact it is still a long way from this kind of
relationship at this point. Are there some specific things
other than the WTO issue that the United States could do to
make this more likely to become what is called a strategic
partnership?
A: On our part, we are determined
and have made persistent efforts to build towards a
constructive strategic partnership as President Jiang and
President Clinton have promoted. We have felt all along that
China is not a potential rival of the U.S., let alone an
enemy of the U.S., but rather, is a reliable friend of the
U.S. Commitment to establishing this kind of a constructive
strategic partnership does not mean that we approve of every
foreign or domestic policy of the U.S. The converse is also
true.
I believe that even the closest of U.S.
allies won't necessarily agree with all U.S. policies or
policy actions.
Q: Given that the US is, at
this point in history, the sole superpower, what kind of
grade would you give the U.S. in exercising that unique sole
superpower role?
A: It is appropriate to say
that the U.S. is a superpower in the world of today.
However, a review of the human history shows that it is not
easy and not without risks to serve as a superpower. History
shows that no superpower remains a superpower forever.
Therefore, I feel that as a superpower, the U.S. should act
responsibly. In dealing with other countries, the United
States should pay attention to democracy, freedom and
equality as it advocates.
Q: Are you saying
that we don't do that? That there's room for improvement in
the way the U.S. is handling itself?
A: No one
can claim infallibility or perfection.
Q: On
one issue there seems to be controversy between our two
governments at this point, the theater defense missile
systems in Asia. Why does China seem to feel threatened by
defensive missile systems for a country like Japan? Why is
this seen as threatening here?
A: We feel that
building TMD contravenes the existing international
anti-missile treaties. Development of a TMD system is not
conducive to world peace. This is how we feel. What we are
opposed to is including Taiwan in this system. This
constitutes interference in China's sovereignty and internal
affairs. This also violates the three principles of the
three Sino-U.S. Joint Communiques and the Joint Statement by
the two presidents.
Q: Okay, the concern is
purely about Taiwan being covered by such a defense system,
and not about other countries?
A: I'm not sure
you've heard clearly what I just said. I divided my comments
into two parts. The first comment was my view of TMD, which
is that it goes against international regulations of missile
agreements and treaties and is not conducive to world peace.
That was my first comment. My second comment was that China
is opposed to the inclusion of Taiwan in this system.
Q: I'd like to ask a few more questions that
might help Americans know you better as you arrive in the
U.S. You are often described as a pragmatist, a reformer, or
a moderate -- I realize all these labels can be overly
simplistic, but how would you succinctly describe yourself?
A: I can only say that I am an ordinary
Chinese and at the same time the Premier of China.
Q: You know, you were once labeled a rightist,
and you obviously suffered for almost 20 years, I think, as
a result of that, could you tell us or tell Americans
through us, anything about that period of your life and
perhaps most importantly how that experience might affect
your government of China today?
A: At a press
conference last year, I answered a reporter's question about
this. At that time, I said that I didn't want to, I was not
willing to - and I didn't think it necessary to-once again
talk about this unhappy experience.
Q: I have
taken note of that. We only thought we could try again.
Please give us a useful answer.
A: I could add
one comment to this. Though that period of my life was a
painful experience for me, it was also a useful one. It
taught me more and allowed me a wider range of exposure to
social strata. Speaking about it today, I should say that
the Chinese Communist Party and Government have learned
enough lessons from the past.
Q: Would it be
fair to say that the experience has made you more tolerant
of different points of view and made your views more
diversified?
A: Perhaps so.
Q:
One of the main images Americans would have of China, and
perhaps one of the lasting images of the latter part of this
century is that photograph of a young man standing in front
of a tank in 1989. In retrospect, can I ask you what you
think of that man? Was he being brave? Was he being foolish?
Was he misguided?
A: That photograph appears
frequently on television in the U.S. and in other countries.
Lately it seems to appear less frequently. There's another
photograph that left a deep impression on me. It's a photo
of a young naked girl in Vietnam, running on a road in a
bombed area. That girl is still in the U.S. now. We all hope
not to see the recurrence of such things. But there's one
thing entirely different that everyone should think about:
The man who faced the tank, but the tank did not crush him.
It avoided him. Everyone should think over what this was
really about.
Q: You have, I think, several
times in the past, expressed some degree of frustration at
your ability to get accurate information, or at least
statistical information on the Chinese economy. How big of a
problem is this for you, particularly in trying to set up
economic policy?
A: This question comes from
the fact that the Chinese economic growth rate last year
reached 7.8 percent, while many Southeast Asian nations
experienced a negative growth. Many people doubt the
accuracy of the figure. To be honest, as I said before, I
admit that this figure is somewhat inflated. But this kind
of inflation did not begin from last year, and the figure
for last year was not more inflated than in the past.
Because we paid greater attention to checking the accuracy
of the figure, and we repeatedly enjoined lower level
governments not to provide false statistics. As we have
often stressed this, the statistics were far less inflated
than before.
The statistical system was
initially learned from the USSR in the 1950s. After reform
and opening up to the outside world began in 1979, we made
some revisions in accord with U.S. and international
statistical practice. Now, we've had approximately 50 years
of experience in statistical work.
I believe
that it is improper and also unfair to say that all the
figures are inaccurate, or all of them are inflated. Perhaps
there are now millions of people doing statistical work in
China.
I cannot say that the statistics are
very accurate, but I think it is fair to say that our
industrial and business figures are quite accurate. Some
statistics from rural areas may not be as accurate, because
they cover too wide a range. However, these statistics are
collected every year and can be used for comparison from
year to year.
Q: When I spoke to you in 1993,
inflation was 25 percent, economic growth had been over 10
percent for 12 or 13 years, and you were given the job of
making a soft landing. There was great speculation that you
wouldn't be able to do it. But you obviously succeeded. Now
the challenge seems to be how you keep the economy grow at a
satisfactory rate, 7 percent or 8 percent for example. Is
this challenge harder than that one or was that challenge
harder than this one?
A: I believe that the
difficulty I faced in 1993 was inflation. The difficulty I
now face is deflation, the continual dropping of prices.
Experience over the past few centuries has
taught the Chinese to fear inflation more than anything
else. China almost has never experienced a period of
deflation before. The overwhelming majority of the Chinese
people are not aware of the dangers of deflation. But a few
of us see the danger.
Therefore, my task is
now much easier than that of controlling inflation, because
the general public don't need to worry about inflation. They
are quite at ease.
Q: What is the danger of
deflation?
A: Now the people are saving
greater part of their money in our banks. The savings rate
now is 40 percent or 50 percent, I'm not very clear.
But the banks cannot loan the money out,
because they can't find appropriate projects to lend the
money to.
Therefore, the national economy
faces risk of a slowdown of the growth rate. The oversupply
of products and the drop in prices have made it difficult
for enterprises in terms of operations.
So now
we have begun to implement a pro-active fiscal policy,
building infrastructure projects and stimulating consumer
demand, to increase the purchasing power of the people and
galvanize the development of production.
I
would like to make one more remark. Many foreigners,
including Americans, believe that, due to the adverse
effects of the Southeast Asian financial crisis and the
floods, China's reforms were not carried out according to
the original plan, and were slowed down greatly. This is a
far cry from the truth.
In fact, great
progress was made last year in the reforms planned by the
current Chinese government. They were carried out in
compliance with the original plan and even by surpassing it.
I don't have time to go into detail on this issue, and
perhaps we'll see each other again in the U.S.!
Q: We'd like to make one modest request, that
you and your colleagues would consider at some point soon
letting us at least print our Asian Wall Street Journal in
China, we print it almost everywhere else in Asia now, in
about 10 countries, and We think it does inform business
people and others about economic and business and financial
issues, so we would hope to be able to print in China and
one day also to be able to print a Chinese language version
of the Wall Street Journal, so we hope that can be
considered at least.
A: I will consult with
people responsible for this matter. I myself am a devoted
reader of the Asia Wall Street Journal.
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